What millions of employees eagerly await 2026 The first scenarios and expert opinions for the minimum wage increase in 2018 began to become clear.. Eyes for official announcement, The meetings of the Minimum Wage Determination Commission, which will start in December, have been turned into meetings..
2026 In determining the new minimum wage that will be valid as of January, Medium Term Program (OVP) targets and year-end inflation expectations will be the main determinants.
The Strongest Scenario Range According to Experts
Economic experts and names in the field of social security, It makes calculations based on different increase rates based on year-end inflation expectations.. The strongest expectation range currently stands out %25 with %30 There were increase rates between.
| Raise Rate | Estimated Net Minimum Wage (TL) | Increase Amount (TL) |
| %25 (lowest expectation) | Approximately 27.630 TL | +5.526 TL |
| %30 (high expectation) | Approximately 28.735 TL | +6.631 TL |
| %40 (Maximum Scenario) | Approximately 30.946 TL | +8.841 TL |
Current Net Minimum Wage: 22.104 TL (2025 year net fee)Not: these figures, are based on market and expert forecasts and These are not final official figures..
Inflation and MTP Data are on the Table
Main agenda item of the Minimum Wage Determination Commission, In the Medium Term Program (OVP) The year-end inflation expectation will be.
- Announced in the OVP %28,5‘lik 2025 year-end inflation expectation, It is considered a critical reference point in determining the wage. In case of an increase at this rate, the net minimum wage will be approximately 28.404 TL is expected to reach the level.
Commission Calendar and Critical Date
Who will determine the new minimum wage Minimum Wage Determination Commissionof the first meeting of December 2025 It is expected to be done within the month. The final decision of the commission, millions of employees and the entire Turkish economy 2026 will determine the beginning of the year.
