Statement on Inflation Expectations from Şimşek: “Improvement in Expectations Will Be Strengthened”
Minister of Treasury and Finance Mehmet Şimşek, As of November, households and real sector 12 announced that there was a decline in inflation expectations next month. Lightning, He emphasized that disinflation policies will be continued with determination.
25 November 2025 – ANKARA – Minister of Treasury and Finance Mehmet Şimşek, made evaluations regarding consumer inflation. Minister Simsek, “Households and the real sector 12 Month-ahead inflation expectations decreased in November,” using expressions, compared to the same period last year 12 He stated that there was a significant improvement of.
Minister Simsek, gave a message of determination regarding economic policies:
“While we continue to implement our disinflation-oriented policies with determination, we predict that the improvement in expectations will strengthen and the rigidity in pricing behavior will decrease with the continuation of the decline in inflation.. Our economy is ensured by price stability., We will continue to take the necessary steps with determination to create a strong structure where productivity increases and the level of welfare increases.”
📉 While Real Sector and Household Expectations Decline, Market Participants Increased
Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) published by November 2025 “Sectoral Inflation Expectations” data, revealed the divergence between the expectations of different economic actors.
| Actor Group | October Expectation | November Expectation | Change (Ma'am) |
| Market Participants | %23,26 (Estimated) | %23,49 | ▲ +0,23 (Increase) |
| Real Sector | %36,30 (Estimated) | %35,70 | ▼ -0,60 (Drop) |
| household | %54,39 (Estimated) | %52,24 | ▼ -2,15 (Drop) |
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Market Participantsof 12 Month-ahead annual inflation expectations compared to the previous month 0,23 points increased to 23.49 percent.
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Real Sectorexpectations of fame 0,60 decreased by points to 35.70 percent.
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householdThe expectations of 2,15 decreased by 52.24 points.
The Proportion of Households Who Expect Their Expectations to Fall Decreased
Another striking point in the data is, future 12 There was a decrease in the proportion of households expecting inflation to decrease in the monthly period. This rate, compared to the previous month 1,67 decreased by 24.83 points.
On the other hand, The gap between the lowest expectation and the highest expectation 28,75 ma'am was determined as, This showed the sharp divergence in inflation perception of different sectors.
